Australia vs England Predictions
Runs probability for every squad player, 1st T20I
Our model reads every ball each batter has faced in our database, then weighs recent form, the opponent's attack and the venue to produce the probability of each scoring range. Most sites quote a season average. We count the deliveries.
Australia14 players
Match preview: Australia vs England
Australia face England in the 1st T20I on 21 Nov 2026, 1:45 pm IST, with 5 matches still to play in the series. Ahead of the toss, our models have processed both squads ball by ball, weighing recent form, career scoring patterns, and how each batter matches up against this kind of opposition, then turned it into score-range probabilities for every player, not just a headline tip.
For Australia, the model's standout pick is Mitchell Marsh, given a 65.7% chance of a fifty-plus score and a 85.5% chance of reaching at least 20. Next on the list: Sam Harper (32.3%) and Jake Fraser-McGurk (12.6%) for a half-century. These forecasts cover the officially announced tour squad.
For England, the model's standout pick is Philip Salt, given a 51.9% chance of a fifty-plus score and a 75.8% chance of reaching at least 20. Next on the list: Harry Brook (39.6%) and Jacob Bethell (18.3%) for a half-century. These forecasts cover the officially announced tour squad.
A reminder on how to read these numbers: T20 cricket is brutally volatile, and even elite batters finish under 20 in roughly four innings out of ten. That is why we publish probabilities instead of promises. A 30% fifty-chance marks a genuinely hot pick, not a sure thing. Forecasts update automatically after every completed match in the series, so the numbers you see always reflect the latest action. All of it is for analysis and entertainment only, never betting advice.